Curt Schilling is a loudmouth. He has a blog. He is so opinionated and polarizing that even many of his own Boston Red Sox fans dislike him. But he is also a Hall of Famer.
The Baseball Writers Association of America has made many questionable decisions over the years in electing players to the Hall of Fame. Perception, popularity, tradition, and a misinterpretation of statistics are the catalysts that cause humans to skew the results of baseball’s highest honor. Remember that this is the same group of people who have never selected any player to the Hall as a unanimous choice–not even Babe Ruth–so that when an obvious selection like Cal Ripken, Jr., comes along, someone always votes against the new candidate out of spite. This is the same group that did not vote Joe DiMaggio a Hall of Famer until his third try on the ballot.
Recently some writers have claimed Curt Schilling will not be elected into the Hall of Fame because he currently only has 216 career victories. This is exactly the fouled logic that creates problems in gauging statistics for baseball. Anyone who has ever enjoyed a baseball game knows that a pitcher could be the loser in a 2-1 game or the winner in a 10-9 game. In a complex team sport where the defense actually controlls the ball and features an one-on-one matchup between the pitcher and a batter, a pitcher actually has less control of whether or not he receives the victory than one might think at first glance. Put Sandy Koufax in his prime on a college team and he would certainly shut down the Yankees, but his performance would not garner a win unless his team could score.
Only recently has Curt Schilling played on winning ballclubs. In 1992 in his first year as a starter, the 25-year-old Schilling posted a fantastic breakout season by throwing 226.3 innings with a 2.35 ERA and a 0.990 WHIP. He led the National League in WHIP and placed fourth in ERA, but did not receive one vote on the NL Cy Young ballot that year. He only went 14-11 because his 1992 Philadelphia Phillies went 70-92, finishing dead last in the NL East.
Tom Glavine has won 305 games and two NL Cy Young Awards. He is certainly a Hall of Famer. But look at his career numbers compared to Schilling’s.
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Career Comparison
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Wins
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Strikeouts
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Walks
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ERA
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Avg. ERA
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WHIP
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Curt Schilling
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216
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3116
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711
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3.46
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4.41
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1.137
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Tom Glavine
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305
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2604
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1496
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3.53
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4.16
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1.312
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Remember the organization Tom Glavine played for won 14 consecutive division titles. Schilling pitched the Phillies to the NL Pennant in 1993, but did not play on another winning team until he was traded to the Arizona Diamondbacks in 2000. Schilling has struck out a little over 500 more batters than Glavine, but he’s walked half as many. Schilling’s WHIP and ERA are better also, doing so in a situation where the average ERA was higher than Glavine’s (due to Schilling’s time in the American League).
Now look at Schilling’s career compared to one of the most famous pitchers in Major League Baseball history, Nolan Ryan.
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Career Comparison
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Wins
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Strikeouts
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Walks
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ERA
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Avg. ERA
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WHIP
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Nolan Ryan
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324
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5714
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2795
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3.19
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3.56
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1.247
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Curt Schilling
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216
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3116
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711
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3.46
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4.41
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1.137
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Again, the wins are there for Ryan. However, he threw in parts of 27 seasons and four decades. How many Cy Young Awards did Nolan Ryan win? The same number as Schilling. Zero. Ryan is, of course, the all-time leader in strikeouts and leads Schilling by nearly 2,600. However, Ryan also has allowed more bases on balls and thrown more wild pitches than anyone in MLB history. While Ryan’s ERA is better than Schilling’s, the average ERA of each pitcher’s era indicates that Schilling–who pitched in the steroid era–was actually better in this regard. Besides the 324 wins for Ryan, he also lost 292 games which is the most in the modern era. Yet the Baseball Writers Association of America voted Ryan into the Hall of Fame with an astouding percentage of 98.2% saying “yes” to his worth, only six votes short of unanimous.
Schilling’s 4.38 strikeout-to-walk ratio is second all-time, trailing only Tommy Bond, whose name may not be familiar since his final season was in 1884. But Schilling has also struck out enough batters to rank 14th all-time on that respective list. He may be the rarest combination of power and control of his generation. His numbers in 2002 are staggering: he struck out 316 batters and walked only 33. That 9.68 strikeout-to-walk ratio is the 2nd-best individual season ever in that regard with only Bret Saberhagen’s 1994 season mark of 143/13 (11 ratio) better, though he made only 24 starts because of the strike.
While he has struck out more and walked less than the likes of John Smoltz, Mike Mussina, and Pedro Martinez, writers argue that Curt Schilling has never won a Cy Young award. But oftentimes those awards are not exact barometers of a player’s career. Sometimes chance is a factor. Sadly, name recognition also plays a role.
Take another look at Curt Schilling’s 2002 season and think of what numbers are deserving of a Cy Young award.
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Curt Schilling - 2002
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Record
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IP
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K/BB
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ERA
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WHIP
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23-7
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259.3
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316/33
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3.23
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0.968
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20 wins? Check. 300 strikeouts? Check. Under 1.00 WHIP? Check. Add in an ERA more than a run better than the league average and well over 200 innings pitched. This is an incredible season, coming in the middle of the steroid era, one year after Barry Bonds hit 73 homers. But get this: Curt Schilling did not even receive one first-place vote for the 2002 NL Cy Young Award. His teammate Randy Johnson won unanimously, his fourth straight NL Cy Young. Schilling has finished 2nd in the Cy Young three times. His 1.85 Cy Young shares rank 16th of all time and are the most of any pitcher to never win the award.
Take a look at what happened in the American League in deciding the 2001 Cy Young award winner.
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2001 American League Cy Young
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Wins
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IP
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K/BB
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CG
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SO
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ERA
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WHIP
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Player A
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21
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229.3
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153/51
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6
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4
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3.45
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1.156
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Player B
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20
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220.3
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213/72
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0
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0
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3.51
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1.257
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Player A’s team won 102 games while Player B’s team won 95. The numbers are close, but easily in favor of Player A. While Player B did record more strikeouts, his strikeout-to-walk ratio is slightly worse than than his counterpart’s. Somehow, Player B won the award–probably because Player B was Roger Clemens and Player A was second-year player named Mark Mulder. Player B played for the New York Yankees and Player A played for the Oakland Athletics, also a probably factor. In fact, of the top six finishers in that year’s vote, Clemens had the worst ERA and WHIP of the group.
Roger Clemens has had a better career than Curt Schilling, but it’s not because Clemens has seven Cy Young Awards and Schilling has none. In fact, Schilling’s best seasons compare quite nicely to Clemens’ best seasons. For instance, Schilling has recorded 300+ strikeouts in a season three times, while Clemens never accomplished the feat. Also, Schilling’s two seasons recording a sub-1.00 WHIP Clemens’ one. Here is each pitcher’s arguably best five seasons:
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Roger Clemens’ Best Five Seasons
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Year
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Record
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IP
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K/BB
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ERA
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WHIP
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1986
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24-4
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254
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238/67
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2.48
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0.969
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1997
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21-7
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264
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292/68
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2.05
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1.030
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2005
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13-8
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211.3
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185/62
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1.87
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1.008
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1990
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21-6
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228.3
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209/54
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1.93
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1.082
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1987
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20-9
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281.7
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256/83
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2.97
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1.175
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Curt Schilling’s Best Five Seasons
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Year
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Record
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IP
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K/BB
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ERA
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WHIP
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2002
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23-7
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259.3
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316/33
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3.23
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0.968
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2001
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22-6
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256.7
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293/39
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2.98
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1.075
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1997
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17-11
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254.3
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319/58
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2.97
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1.046
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1992
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14-11
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226.3
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147/59
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2.35
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0.990
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1998
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15-14
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268.7
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300/61
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3.25
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1.105
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The Boston Red Sox championship season in 2004 was obviously one of the most important sporting events in years. They have since won another, but the first never happens without Curt Schilling. Nobody would remember the bloody sock had Schilling not gone seven innings, allowing four hits and one run on the road in Yankee Stadium in an elimination game. Obviously Schilling’s postseason prowess is one of his strengths, but 133.3 innings is a small sample size. He is 10-2 with 120 strikeouts, 25 walks, and a 2.23 ERA in 19 career postseason starts.
Schilling should not be in the Hall of Fame simply for his postseason numbers, but they must be noted. Look at Schilling’s numbers versus his contemporaries. There are not many starters better than he has been through the course of his career. Remember win totals are a product of a starting pitcher’s environment and that while Curt Schilling played on some awful teams in Philadelphia, he still put up an incredible career, a career worthy of the Hall of Fame. The Baseball Writers Association of America has made mistakes in the past, but it would shame to not include Schilling among the all time greats. Even if he is a loudmouth.

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