No other National League teams with a worse record than the Arizona Diamondbacks wanted to claim Adam Dunn. It’s understandable that these clubs would not want to add the last two months of the $13 million Dunn will earn in 2008, but what hasn’t been mentioned is that Arizona received a quality addition to counter the surging Dodgers’ acquisition of Manny Ramirez.
Dunn strikes out a lot. He plays sub-par defense. But Dunn gets on base and hits for power. At the time of the trade, he was in the top-30 of all Major League hitters in both on-base percentage (.373) and slugging percentage (.528). Who cares that his batting average was .234 at the time of the trade? He is getting out less this season than Ichiro Suzuki, who is hitting .308 but whose on-base percentage is .363.
In fact, Dunn is close to achieving an impressive feat. For four consecutive seasons, he has hit over 40 homeruns and walked over 100 times. With a month and a half to play in 2008, he has 32 homers and 83 walks. In three of the last four years, Dunn has eclipsed 100 RBIs and 100 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks are second in the National League in strikeouts and have added a player who has struck out 124 times in 2008 in only 117 games. Dunn led the National League in strikeouts from 2004-2006. But Dunn isn’t like his new teammates. Dunn immediately becomes the team leader in slugging percentage, second in on-base percentage (to Conor Jackson’s .388 mark), and leads the team in OPS.
|
|
Strikeouts |
Extra-base hits |
Walks |
|
Justin Upton |
97 |
27 |
45 |
|
Chris Young |
125 |
54 |
46 |
|
Mark Reynolds |
151 |
48 |
45 |
|
Adam Dunn |
124 |
47 |
83 |
The Reds receive: Dallas Buck and two players to be named later.
Dallas Buck is a 23-year-old right-handed starting pitcher who only 1-5 in starts between Class Low-A and Class High-A, but has a 3.55 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP.
Oh, those elusive players to be named later. They’re always the wild card of any player. In these situations clubs give their counterparts options between a few players and those clubs will wait a few months longer to concluce the evaluation process on the minor league players. Except this time, at least one of the two (and possibly both) players to be named later is reportedly not a minor leaguer. Well, they may be in the minor leagues now, but they are part of the 40-man, Major League roster. They must clear waivers like other Major Leaguers, meaning the trade may be completed after the conclusion of this season.
So it seems as if the trade will be completed by one of the players on the 40-man roster, but not one of the 25-players currently on the actual Major League team. This list includes Max Scherzer and Micah Owings. It’s highly unlikely that the D-Backs part ways with Scherzer, but if the Reds can lure Owings away, it would be very beneficial for their franchise. Owings struggled so badly in 2008 that Arizona had to send him back to Triple-A, but he’ll only be 26 next season and could still be a very useful piece to a Major League club.
This trade, like most, is about money. Adam Dunn is a free agent after the end of 2008 and should command a pretty hefty salary in the open market. Cincinnati felt they had to get something in return other than a compensation pick in next June’s draft, so they made the deal. They could end up receiving a Major League-experienced pitcher in Micah Owings, a piece they need badly. Maybe the Diamondbacks can convince Dunn to stay in Phoenix beyond 2008. If so, they win this trade easily because Dunn will hit 40 homeruns and draw 100 walks for several more years. If not, they still have a guy with left-handed power and patience that could push them past the Los Angeles Dodgers and into the 2008 playoffs.